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Bitcoin Market Update: Analyst Sees 65% Chance Of Retest Before Surge To $68,000 – BitcoTasks BLOG
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Bitcoin Market Update: Analyst Sees 65% Chance Of Retest Before Surge To $68,000

Bitcoin (BTC) has regained significant momentum over the past week, breaking free from the $49,000 lows it reached during the broader market crash on August 5. Since the past seven days, the flagship cryptocurrency has surged over 8%, climbing above the critical $63,000 level and reaching as high as $65,000 on Sunday.

This latest rally has crypto analysts optimistic about Bitcoin’s prospects for further upside, with some eyeing a potential move towards $68,000 soon. However, not all technical experts are convinced the path forward will be completely smooth sailing.

Two Paths To $68,000 Bitcoin

Crypto analyst Doctor Profit, who has a notable track record of accurately predicting price movements dating back to BTC’s $50,000 territory during the August 5 crash, is now targeting $68,000. A detailed report outlines that the key lies in Bitcoin’s interaction with the $63,900 line on the 6-hour chart.

According to Doctor Profit, there are two different paths for Bitcoin’s journey to $68,000. The first is for Bitcoin to maintain its position above the $63,900 level, paving the way for a quick rise to the projected $68,000 price. 

The second scenario involves a temporary dip below $63,900 followed by a retest of the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $61,900 before rising above $64,000 and moving towards $68,000.

This latter scenario is seen as the more likely outcome, with Doctor Profit assigning a 65% probability to a retest of the $61,900 EMA support level before a push towards $68,000. 

What Open Interest Heatmap Suggests

Lending credence to the possibility of a short-term pullback, technical analyst Ali Martinez observes that Bitcoin appears to be trading within a parallel channel on lower time frames. Martinez suggests a break below the $63,500 support could see BTC drop as low as $62,800 before potentially bouncing.

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Adding another layer to the analysis, the trading platform Hyblock highlights the importance of the Open Interest (OI) Heatmap in gauging market sentiment. 

The current open interest of $61,000 suggests a possible correction on the horizon, as the platform pointed out that BTC usually chases these zones, and this possibility increases after Bitcoin’s 8% surge last week. 

While this may indicate a short-term pullback, a successful retest of lower support levels could set the stage for a strong recovery and a retest of higher resistance levels, assuming demand remains consistent.

Bitcoin

At the time of writing, the largest cryptocurrency on the market is trading at $63,450, recording losses of over 1% in the 24-hour time frame after hitting the $65,000 mark late Sunday for the first time since August 1. 

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

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