{"id":10175,"date":"2026-02-25T05:11:05","date_gmt":"2026-02-25T05:11:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/bitcoin-nears-death-cross-that-preceded-final-bear-market-legs\/"},"modified":"2026-02-25T05:11:05","modified_gmt":"2026-02-25T05:11:05","slug":"bitcoin-nears-death-cross-that-preceded-final-bear-market-legs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/bitcoin-nears-death-cross-that-preceded-final-bear-market-legs\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Nears Death Cross That Preceded Final Bear Market Legs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>An analyst has pointed out how Bitcoin could be approaching a death cross between the 50-day and 200-day SMAs on the 3-day chart.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin Is Potentially Nearing A Death Cross On The 3-Day Timeframe<\/h2>\n<p>In a new death cross&#8221; popularly refers to a bearish signal produced by a crossover between two simple moving averages (SMAs) of an asset. Typically, a death cross involves the longer SMA moving above the shorter one. In the context of the current topic, the SMAs of relevance are the 50-day and 200-day versions.<\/p>\n<p>Below is the chart shared by Martinez that shows the pattern displayed by these two SMAs for the 3-day Bitcoin price.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/HB15F8XWgAAMn48?format=jpg&amp;name=large\" alt=\"Bitcoin Death Cross\" width=\"1638\" height=\"2048\" \/><\/p>\n<p>As is visible in the graph, the 50-day SMA of the 3-day Bitcoin price saw a cross under the 200-day SMA in each of the last three cycles. All of these crossovers preceded bearish price action.<\/p>\n<p>More specifically, the 2014 crossover led to a drawdown of 52.19% for the asset, the 2018 one to 50.56%, and the 2022 one to 45.91%. Interestingly, these price declines all led to the bottoms of their respective bear markets. &#8220;Since 2014, the death cross between the 50 and 200 simple moving averages on the 3-day chart has consistently preceded the final leg down of a Bitcoin $BTC bear market,&#8221; noted the analyst.<\/p>\n<p>Jumping to the present, BTC has faced a bearish shift in recent months with a notable drawdown in its price. This has resulted in the 50-day SMA witnessing a decline toward the 200-day SMA. As a zoomed-in chart shared by Martinez in another X <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/alicharts\/status\/2026176514589393360\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">post<\/a> shows, there is now not much distance left between the 50-day and 200-day SMAs of the 3-day Bitcoin price.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/HB2esSwXAAAa_SV?format=jpg&amp;name=4096x4096\" alt=\"Bitcoin SMAs\" width=\"2160\" height=\"2700\" \/><\/p>\n<p>If the two lines continue to follow the current trajectories, the analyst has estimated that a death cross could occur on February 27th. Given the past trend, such a death cross could take Bitcoin into its final leg for the bear market. It only remains to be seen, however, whether the current cycle will actually follow a similar pattern or if it will show divergence.<\/p>\n<p>In some other news, the Realized Profit\/Loss Ratio has slipped into the loss region recently, as on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has highlighted in an X <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/alicharts\/status\/2026176514589393360\/photo\/1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">post<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/HB5qG-HWQAACild?format=jpg&amp;name=4096x4096\" alt=\"Bitcoin Realized Profit\/Loss Ratio\" width=\"3200\" height=\"1800\" \/><\/p>\n<p>In the past, a shift toward loss realization on the Bitcoin network has generally lasted for over six months before a return of liquidity has occurred.<\/p>\n<h2>BTC Price<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin has erased some of its recent recovery over the past couple of days as its price is now trading around $63,300.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/UYWhF4nD\/\" alt=\"Bitcoin Price Chart\" width=\"1486\" height=\"957\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>An analyst has pointed out how Bitcoin could be approaching a death cross between the 50-day and 200-day SMAs on the 3-day chart. Bitcoin Is Potentially Nearing A Death Cross On The 3-Day Timeframe In a new death cross&#8221; popularly refers to a bearish signal produced by a crossover between two simple moving averages (SMAs)&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10176,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[245],"tags":[65,1752,4385,111,73,71],"class_list":["post-10175","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-bear-market","tag-bitcoin-death-cross","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-btc","tag-btcusdt"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10175","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10175"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10175\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10176"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10175"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10175"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10175"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}