{"id":3742,"date":"2025-03-29T05:11:07","date_gmt":"2025-03-29T05:11:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/gamestop-gme-down-bad-after-bitcoin-news-heres-the-catch\/"},"modified":"2025-03-29T05:11:07","modified_gmt":"2025-03-29T05:11:07","slug":"gamestop-gme-down-bad-after-bitcoin-news-heres-the-catch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/gamestop-gme-down-bad-after-bitcoin-news-heres-the-catch\/","title":{"rendered":"GameStop (GME) Down Bad After Bitcoin News \u2014 Here\u2019s The Catch"},"content":{"rendered":"

GameStop (NYSE: GME) suffered a sharp 25% drop yesterday, a sudden downturn that followed a 16% rally on March 26. The catalyst? A bold decision by the gaming retailer\u2019s board to establish a Bitcoin treasury\u2014joining the ranks of MicroStrategy, Metaplanet, and other corporations. Initially, the news sent GME shares soaring, as investors viewed the move as a bullish signal. However, the stock quickly reversed course and now finds itself in turbulent waters.<\/p>\n

Investor optimism over GameStop\u2019s Bitcoin play was palpable at first. The announcement sparked excitement similar to when MicroStrategy began accumulating Bitcoin. Yet the initial rally gave way to heavy selling pressure, erasing nearly $3 billion in market value. While the company has not fully detailed its strategy or timeline for Bitcoin acquisitions, the market\u2019s whiplash response has prompted widespread debate.<\/p>\n

GameStop\u2019s \u2018Convertible Arbitrage\u2019 Factor<\/h2>\n

On X, analyst Han Akamatsu offered an explanation<\/a> rooted in parallels to MicroStrategy\u2019s past financing methods. He began by noting: \u201cLet me explain to you why GameStop is falling today, as far as I understand based on my MSTR experience.\u201d<\/p>\n

According to Akamatsu, when MicroStrategy previously issued convertible notes, large institutional buyers used a strategy known as convertible arbitrage: \u201cWhen MSTR issued convertible notes, institutional buyers used convertible arbitrage: They bought the bonds, shorted MSTR stock to hedge [and] waited for the bond to either convert or mature.\u201d<\/p>\n

He emphasized that this process created \u201cartificial short pressure\u201d on the stock\u2014despite MicroStrategy\u2019s own bullish outlook on Bitcoin. Akamatsu then referenced MicroStrategy\u2019s 2021 issuance: \u201cIn 2021, MSTR issued $1.05B of 0% convertible notes, the stock dipped after the announcement due to hedging shorts, but later exploded when Bitcoin ripped and the arbitrage unspooled.\u201d<\/p>\n

Akamatsu went on to connect these dots to GameStop\u2019s current situation: \u201cGME is following the same blueprint now:Issue $1.3B in 0% convertibles, likely going to buy Bitcoin [and] institutions are now shorting GME to hedge.\u201d
\nHe pointed out that if GME or Bitcoin rises substantially, the short positions set up to hedge the convertibles could be unwound en masse: \u201cIf GME or BTC goes up a lot, the trade gets very interesting as we have a squeeze opportunity here.\u201d<\/p>\n

He further explained the typical ratio of shorts involved: \u201cA common practice is to short 50\u201370% of the bond\u2019s notional value in stock. They make money on the arbitrage between the bond conversion price and the stock price, even if the stock stays flat or drops.\u201d<\/p>\n

Finally, Akamatsu noted that the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) would influence the conversion price: \u201cVWAP pricing window behavior, they\u2019ll want the stock low to get favorable conversion. Conversion price will be based on GME\u2019s VWAP [\u2026] from 1:00 PM to 4:00 PM EDT on the pricing day.\u201d<\/p>\n

Criticism Over the Risk<\/h2>\n

Some market watchers have criticized GameStop\u2019s board for incurring what appears to be self-inflicted selling pressure. One user on X questioned whether Chairman Ryan Cohen (often referred to by the initials RC) had miscalculated: \u201cHi Han, great analysis as usual\u2026 however, nearly $3bn market value is wiped out today. RC should really ask himself if it is worth it or he miscalculated. The hedge is supposed to mitigate risk in nature. But itself creates much more risk.\u201d<\/p>\n

Akamatsu stood by his take, asserting: \u201cCalculated and all going according to plan. If you\u2019re not really into the MSTR playbook, I recommend you to check their strategy.\u201d<\/p>\n

In another post<\/a>, Akamatsu drew comparisons to a setup he observed with Celsius Holdings (NASDAQ: CELH): \u201cGME has a similar pattern with what CELH had when I claimed this was an easy 100% setup.\u201d<\/p>\n

He referenced chart analyst Thomas Bulkowski\u2019s work on wedge patterns, hinting that a retracement might offer a buying opportunity: \u201cIf GME starts retracing after that solid breakout, textbook Bulkowski says that 7\/10 times price tests the wedge again and then has a greater takeoff.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"GME<\/p>\n

The analyst reassured traders not to panic if the stock dips further, stressing it could be a standard technical move: \u201cSo, if you see GME retrace \u2026 don\u2019t panic as this will be normal. You\u2019ll have another chance at a great entry when this tests the wedge again.\u201d He concluded on a hopeful note: \u201cI\u2019m having my fingers crossed this will simply skyrocket.\u201d<\/p>\n

At press time, GME stood at $22.30.<\/p>\n

\"GameStop<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

GameStop (NYSE: GME) suffered a sharp 25% drop yesterday, a sudden downturn that followed a 16% rally on March 26. The catalyst? A bold decision by the gaming retailer\u2019s board to establish a Bitcoin treasury\u2014joining the ranks of MicroStrategy, Metaplanet, and other corporations. Initially, the news sent GME shares soaring, as investors viewed the move…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3743,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[111,112,72,1756,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070],"class_list":["post-3742","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptocurrency-market-news","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-btc-news","tag-cryptocurrency-market-news","tag-gamestop","tag-gamestop-crash","tag-gamestop-news","tag-gme","tag-gme-bitcoin","tag-gme-crash","tag-gme-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3742","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3742"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3742\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3743"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3742"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3742"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3742"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}