{"id":6074,"date":"2025-07-28T04:11:09","date_gmt":"2025-07-28T04:11:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/bitcoins-parabolic-glory-days-may-be-over-analyst-claims\/"},"modified":"2025-07-28T04:11:09","modified_gmt":"2025-07-28T04:11:09","slug":"bitcoins-parabolic-glory-days-may-be-over-analyst-claims","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/bitcoins-parabolic-glory-days-may-be-over-analyst-claims\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin\u2019s Parabolic Glory Days May Be Over, Analyst Claims"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin has climbed 250% since BlackRock\u2019s IBIT launch. But those massive green candles\u2014spikes traders chase\u2014could become a thing of the past.<\/p>\n<p>According to Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas, the era of sudden jolts up or down may be ending. He says that spot ETFs and big companies piling in will smooth out those drawdowns.<\/p>\n<h2>Spot ETF Approval Era<\/h2>\n<p>Balchunas pointed out that IBIT just passed $100 billion in assets under management. Based on his view, that landmark tells you everything.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin traded between $116,000 and $120,000 after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.prnewswire.com\/news-releases\/galaxy-executes-one-of-the-largest-notional-bitcoin-transactions-ever-302514123.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Galaxy Digital<\/a> sold 80,000 coins. No panic sell\u2011off followed. Before ETFs, a sale like that could send prices tumbling by double\u2011digit percentages. Now, deep corrections look less likely.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">This guy gets it. We\u2019ve been saying same thing. Since BlackRock filing Bitcoin is up like 250% with much less volatility and no vomit-inducing drawdowns. This has helped it attract even bigger fish and gives it fighting chance to be adopted as currency. Downside is prob no more\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0ECd5XevcO\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/t.co\/0ECd5XevcO<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/EricBalchunas\/status\/1949157641747403040?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">July 26, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>In\u2011and\u2011out profit\u2011hunters once drove <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/en\/coins\/bitcoin\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bitcoin<\/a> up or down by 20% or more in a day. But steady inflows from regulated products lure in large investors.<\/p>\n<p>Balchunas argues that fewer wild swings will make crypto more useful for buying coffee or paying bills. He believes this shift will help Bitcoin behave more like a real currency and not just a roller\u2011coaster asset.<\/p>\n<h2>Institutional Steady Hands<\/h2>\n<p>Based on reports from Citigroup, every $1 billion of ETF inflows can lift Bitcoin by about 3.6%. Using that math, Citi sees Bitcoin hitting $199,000 before December 31.<\/p>\n<p>That forecast depends on steady money flowing in. Big funds make big bets. And those bets tend to stick around longer than retail traders chasing quick gains.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/YXHKww50\/\" width=\"1835\" height=\"884\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Citigroup notes that BlackRock\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.blackrock.com\/corporate\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">IBIT<\/a> became the fastest ETF to reach $100 billion. That matters because it shows how hungry big players are for crypto.<\/p>\n<p>If those trends keep up, Bitcoin could push past its current trading band. It may even test new highs without the classic <a href=\"https:\/\/bitglossary.com\/en\/article\/god-candle\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">\u201cGod candle\u201d<\/a> leaps that gave quick fortunes\u2014and quick losses.<\/p>\n<p>Volatility Trade\u2011Offs<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, some analysts warn that early Bitcoin whales are taking profits and stepping aside. As institutions arrive, some old\u2011school traders will leave. That could shift volume to less regulated spots or exotic derivatives markets. In a calmer main market, risks may hide in side channels.<\/p>\n<p>Lower volatility brings fewer heart\u2011stopping moments. It also means less of the adrenaline rush that attracts day\u2011traders. For some, that trade\u2011off is worth it. For others, the loss of big swings could drive them away.<\/p>\n<p>Calmer Waters Ahead?<\/p>\n<p>Overall, Bitcoin seems to be entering a new phase. Based on Balchunas\u2019s take, those \u201cGod candles\u201d won\u2019t vanish overnight\u2014but they\u2019ll be rare. The push from spot ETFs and corporate treasuries aims to make price moves smoother.<\/p>\n<p><em>Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin has climbed 250% since BlackRock\u2019s IBIT launch. But those massive green candles\u2014spikes traders chase\u2014could become a thing of the past. According to Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas, the era of sudden jolts up or down may be ending. He says that spot ETFs and big companies piling in will smooth out those drawdowns. Spot ETF&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6075,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[65,243,73,70,19,541,3013],"class_list":["post-6074","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-blackrock","tag-btc","tag-btcusd","tag-crypto","tag-etf","tag-god-candle"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6074","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6074"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6074\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6075"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6074"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6074"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6074"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}