{"id":8250,"date":"2025-11-18T05:11:04","date_gmt":"2025-11-18T05:11:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/analyst-shares-worst-case-scenario-for-bitcoin-btc-as-price-shows-concerning-signs\/"},"modified":"2025-11-18T05:11:04","modified_gmt":"2025-11-18T05:11:04","slug":"analyst-shares-worst-case-scenario-for-bitcoin-btc-as-price-shows-concerning-signs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/analyst-shares-worst-case-scenario-for-bitcoin-btc-as-price-shows-concerning-signs\/","title":{"rendered":"Analyst Shares Worst-Case Scenario For Bitcoin (BTC) As Price Shows Concerning Signs"},"content":{"rendered":"

While Bitcoin (BTC) continues to lose crucial support levels, an analyst has shared three possible scenarios for the flagship crypto\u2019s upcoming performance, raising the alarm about potential early signs of a bear market.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Price Correction Continues<\/h2>\n

On Monday, Bitcoin reached a new multi-month low after dropping below $93,000 for the first time since May. The cryptocurrency started the week dropping nearly 5% from the $96,000 area and retesting the $91,000 level as support.<\/p>\n

Notably, BTC has seen a 16% correction from its November opening and has lost multiple crucial levels over the past few weeks, including the $100,000 psychological barrier and the 21-Week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as support.<\/p>\n

Most recently, the flagship cryptocurrency closed the week below the 50-week EMA, which has raised the alarm for several market observers.<\/p>\n

Analyst Rekt Capital noted<\/a> that losing this indicator is \u201cnot something we typically want to see if bullish Market Structure is to remain intact,\u201d adding that \u201cbear markets tend to confirm when price loses the key bullish levels that have supported upside momentum across the cycle.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"bitcoin\"<\/p>\n

He explained that Bitcoin has formed clusters of lower lows at the 50-Week EMA across the cycle, which have \u201chelped sustain a broader bullish technical uptrend.\u201d However, BTC is currently forming another cluster below this indicator, instead of approaching the possible macro lower high developing above the 50-Week EMA.<\/p>\n

As a result, BTC\u2019s recent performance signals the first step of a potential breakdown, the analyst warned:<\/p>\n

\n

A full breakdown unfolds in three parts: first, a Weekly Close below the key level; second, a post-breakdown relief rally that turns that level into new resistance; and third, downside continuation that completes the bearish confirmation.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Early Signs Of A Bearish Trend?<\/h2>\n

Rekt Capital stressed that the 50-week EMA will be crucial in determining whether BTC\u2019s bullish trend and tendency for \u201cbenign downside deviations\u201d still hold.<\/p>\n

He emphasized that if the flagship crypto fails to reclaim this indicator as support and it turns into a resistance, it could be transitioning from its downside deviation tendency to the early stages of a confirmed bearish trend.<\/p>\n

The analyst detailed that during the early bear markets, \u201ca Weekly Close below the 50-Week EMA is followed by several weeks of post-breakdown relief rallies into that moving average, but those attempts ultimately fail, and the EMA simply acts as resistance until downside acceleration unfolds.\u201d<\/p>\n

Based on this, he shared three potential outlooks for BTC\u2019s performance. The best-case scenario for Bitcoin would be reclaiming this indicator and successfully ending this correction as a downside deviation, as it would suggest that BTC remains in a bull market.<\/p>\n

The second-best case scenario would be that Bitcoin sees a multi-week hesitation period below the EMA as it enters the bear market, which could include a brief overextension above this level before a clearer trend resolution to the downside.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, the worst-case scenario would see the cryptocurrency\u2019s price unable to retest the 50-Week EMA, even as resistance, and directly enter the downside acceleration phase.<\/p>\n

Nonetheless, the analyst noted that, historically, the third scenario doesn\u2019t appear as likely if we have already entered a bear market. Instead, he concluded that the recurring \u201crelief-rally scenario\u201d into the 50-week EMA before downside continuation seems more likely.<\/p>\n

\"bitcoin,<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

While Bitcoin (BTC) continues to lose crucial support levels, an analyst has shared three possible scenarios for the flagship crypto\u2019s upcoming performance, raising the alarm about potential early signs of a bear market. Bitcoin Price Correction Continues On Monday, Bitcoin reached a new multi-month low after dropping below $93,000 for the first time since May.…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8251,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[65,4008,960,2225,1257,73,71,114,2949,833],"class_list":["post-8250","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-bearish-sign","tag-bitcoin-bull-cycle","tag-bitcoin-bull-market","tag-bitcoin-correction","tag-btc","tag-btcusdt","tag-crypto-analyst","tag-crypto-market-bull-run-2025","tag-crypto-market-correction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8250","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8250"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8250\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8251"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8250"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8250"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8250"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}