{"id":8254,"date":"2025-11-18T05:11:06","date_gmt":"2025-11-18T05:11:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/bitcoin-price-alert-this-indicator-signals-sell-could-history-repeat-with-a-67-drop\/"},"modified":"2025-11-18T05:11:06","modified_gmt":"2025-11-18T05:11:06","slug":"bitcoin-price-alert-this-indicator-signals-sell-could-history-repeat-with-a-67-drop","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/bitcoin-price-alert-this-indicator-signals-sell-could-history-repeat-with-a-67-drop\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Price Alert: This Indicator Signals SELL, Could History Repeat With A 67% Drop?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Bitcoin price has seen a significant pullback, retracing nearly 26% from its all-time highs, fueling speculation about the potential onset of a new bear market.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Compounding this uncertainty, a fresh sell signal has emerged from one of the cryptocurrency\u2019s key indicators, reminiscent of the past when similar signals led to a staggering 67% drop in value.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin Price Could Plunge To $31,000<\/h2>\n<p>Market expert Ali Martinez pointed out in a recent <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ali_charts\/status\/1990404556455391563?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">post <\/a>on social media platform X (formerly Twitter) that the last time the SuperTrend indicator issued a sell signal for Bitcoin was in 2022. At that time, Bitcoin, which had reached an all-time high of $69,000, subsequently fell to around $17,000.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>While the market landscape has changed significantly since then\u2014with the introduction of exchange-traded funds (ETFs), new digital asset treasuries (DATs), and increased institutional support spurred by pro-crypto regulations\u2014the current situation mirrors some of those past concerns.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-large wp-image-854780\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/G58I5zbW0AAZ3ce.jpg?w=860&#038;resize=860%2C600\" alt=\"Bitcoin price\" width=\"860\" height=\"600\" \/><\/p>\n<p>As it stands, the Bitcoin price is trading just above $94,500. If the historical trend of a 67% retracement were to repeat in the next months, the price could potentially fall to around $31,185, which could be the potential bottom of the new bear market.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Adding to the conversation, another analyst known as Mr. Wall Street <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/mrofwallstreet\/status\/1990188498914287725?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">suggested <\/a>that the recent Bitcoin price peak might be at $126,000. He forecasted that the next major downward move could see BTC hit levels between $74,000 and $82,000, ultimately reaching a target between $54,000 and $60,000 by the fourth quarter of 2026.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This perspective contributes to the notion that Bitcoin is likely confirmed in a bear market, which could result in a year-long decline marked by price fluctuations similar to those seen in previous bear cycles.<\/p>\n<h2>A New Death Cross Emerges<\/h2>\n<p>Further complicating the outlook, analyst Doctor Profit<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/DrProfitCrypto\/status\/1990143793996366232?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"> pointed out<\/a> a significant technical signal: the Bitcoin price experienced a death cross for the first time since April 2025.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This event, marked by the 50-day moving average (MA) crossing below the 200-day moving average, historically led to rallies of 25% to 60% in the following three months.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>However, Doctor Profit emphasized a crucial difference this time around: the death cross occurred while Bitcoin was trading 6% below the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA50). In the previous instances, such crosses happened while Bitcoin was positioned above the EMA50, suggesting a different market sentiment this time.<\/p>\n<p>The current bearish sentiment is intensified by negative trends in ETF sales and whale net volume, adding significant pressure to the Bitcoin price.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>With the average entry price for Bitcoin buyers over the past six months set at approximately $94,600, falling back toward or below this level could trigger fresh selling pressure.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Historically, short-term traders tend to exit at breakeven or even at a slight loss, raising concerns about further declines. Doctor Profit concluded his analysis stating:\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>This combination of ETF selling, whale selling, and a large cluster of sellers sitting at breakeven levels is a dangerous setup and adds to the bearish case.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/YQPLvLOm\/\" alt=\"Bitcoin price\" width=\"1814\" height=\"928\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Bitcoin price has seen a significant pullback, retracing nearly 26% from its all-time highs, fueling speculation about the potential onset of a new bear market.\u00a0 Compounding this uncertainty, a fresh sell signal has emerged from one of the cryptocurrency\u2019s key indicators, reminiscent of the past when similar signals led to a staggering 67% drop&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8255,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[245],"tags":[65,264,111,108,265,73,112,113,71,19,250,115],"class_list":["post-8254","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-chart","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-bitcoin-technical-analysis","tag-btc","tag-btc-news","tag-btc-price","tag-btcusdt","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-market","tag-crypto-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8254","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8254"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8254\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8255"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8254"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8254"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcotasks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8254"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}